It's Sinner versus de Minaur in the first match of Group A in the ATP Tour Finals at Turin, with the world's highest-ranked player taking on one from Australia. Coming into this match, both players are in good form: Sinner on an incredible 9-match win streak, and de Minaur is always ready to start a Finals campaign with his agility and relentless energy. Coming with a head-to-head deficit of 7-1 against Sinner, de Minaur will be in for quite a challenge. This could well be a match-up that is full of storming baseline rallies, smart coverage of the court, and high-pressure points that could have big implications early for the group stage.
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Coming into this with loads of steam from a ten-match winning streak, Jannik Sinner is going to be a local favorite following his victory over current US Open champion Carlos Alcaraz in an exhibition final. He has probably been one of the great performers this season, especially when holding his nerve in crucial moments with strong groundstrokes and more consistent serving. The forehand dominance and assurance of a high first-serve percentage make him formidable on the hard courts.
Alex de Minaur was another quick and dogged defensive player who had a very decent year, compiling 47 wins, including titles in Acapulco and 's-Hertogenbosch. In his last loss to Holger Rune in Paris, some inconsistency in his serve was exposed, merely serving first 47% of the time. However, de Minaur's defense might neutralize the power game of Sinner and turn defense into offense.
Tactical Approach
Sinner's key to victory will be in keeping in an aggressive stance, making use of his powerful forehand, and trying to finish the points early. Much-improved first serve—hitting 87% in his last match—and an aggressive return stance will be important in putting pressure on de Minaur's serve.
Patience and consistency will be the keys for de Minaur. His strategy would be to extend the rally to compel Sinner into an error. He would, instead try to make full utilization of Sinner's second serve by inducing him to generate back rallies and test his patience for not being able to hit clean winners.
Expert Betting Tips
Sinner is currently in great form and thus features several tactical strengths. With powerful serving and forehand dominating recent matches, the streak of wins doesn't seem to abate. While Sinner won 64% of his second serves and an impressive 36% of first-serve returns, he does look likely to be in control early in most points, while inconsistency in de Minaur's serve could present avenues for Sinner to attack, given that he took 47% last time out.
Sinner's superior serve and head-to-head advantage point toward a win. De Minaur may struggle to break Sinner's rhythm in this format. If Sinner controls early, he might close this efficiently.
- Jannik Sinner Wins & Under 22.5 Games @ 1.54 Odds
- Jannik Sinner (-1.5) Sets Handicap @ 1.47 Odds
- Jannik Sinner Wins 2-0 @ 1.50 Odds
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