Stade Brest vs AS Monaco Prediction: Can Brest upset Monaco’s title chase?

Brestoise
Brestoise
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
05 Apr 2025 20:00
AS Monaco
AS Monaco
Football, France, Ligue 1, Round 28
05.04.2025, 20:00
Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest, France
Raphael George
03 Apr 2025
06:22
Statistics of the month:
16
12
0
57.14%
Statistics
Odds
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Bookmaker
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Monaco Double Chance & Over 1.5 Goals
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Stade Brest vs AS Monaco Prediction, Betting Tips and Odds | 05 April 2025

Buckle up, footy mates—Ligue 1 Round 28 has a cracker lined up with Stade Brest v AS Monaco being contested on April 5, 2025, at Stade Francis-Le Blé. Will fighting underdogs Brest be the spoilsport and ruin Monaco's title bid, or will Monaco's free-scoring high-flyers keep popping their champagne cork? Brest are flying high, having just defeated Toulouse 4-2, but their injury list reads like a hospital ward.

Meanwhile, Monaco, sitting pretty in second, swagger in after a 2-1 derby win over Nice, with their attack firing on all cylinders. History leans heavily toward Monaco—they’ve dominated this fixture like a pub quiz champ—but Brest’s home patch has a knack for drama. With stats, form, and a sprinkle of rivalry spice, we’re breaking it all down. Who’s your money on?

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Brest were thrashing like a possessed side of late, and their 4-2 thumping of Toulouse last weekend indicates they have bite. Justin Bourgault, Mathias Pereira Lage, Kamory Doumbia, and Mahdi Camara all found the net in a free-for-all performance—46% possession, five shots on goal, and a record 18 fouls (five yellows as well). That's pub brawling intensity with a scoreboard return. Their most recent record—LLWDW—shows guts, but consistency's still a stranger. Fitted 8th on 12 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, they're three games undefeated, opening first in four of their last five, and racking up more than 4.5 cards in four of five as well—good feisty stuff. The quirk?

Injuries are piling up—Jonas Martin, Jordan Amavi, Brendan Chardonnet, Saumaula Coulibaly, Bradley Locko, Ibrahim Salah, and Justin Bourgault are all doubts or out. Éric Roy has a headache, though he's counting on goalkeeper Marco Bizot, who's taken 10 cleans this season. The Dutchman's a brick wall when operating, and with an xG of 1.06 across this game, Brest'll want him razor-sharp. Their best stuff is home chaos—so picture earplug supporters and acrobatic tackles—but the depleted side might expose them to Monaco's firepower. If they're going to nick anything, it'll be sheer bloody-mindedness and Bizot conjuring miracles out of thin air. Over to you, Marco—fancy another clean sheet, mate?

Monaco swagger into Brest like they own the place, and why shouldn't they? 2-1 home win against their rivals Nice last time out—Mika Biereth and Breel Embolo with the goals—kept them in second spot on 15 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses. 59% possession, seven corners, and six on target tells its own story, though 16 fouls and three yellows tell us that there was a hard-fought nature to the win. Form is LWDWW—four without defeat now—and their xG of 1.85 screams warning. They've landed over 2.5 in five of seven, and both teams to score in five as well, though they possess cards under 4.5 in five of seven and corners under 10.5 in nine out of ten. Stylish, but mannered. Adi Hütter's lost Soungoutou Magassa and Kassoum Ouattara, but the true story is Mika Biereth—26 goals, 7 assists this season.

The young man's a one-man wrecking crew, and Brest's leaky defense will have nightmares. Monaco's firepower is their offense—only PSG have scored more in Ligue 1—but their defense can be wobbly, having conceded five of seven recently. But still, they possess the depth and swagger to beat anyone, especially on the road where they've claimed eight of 14. The mood? Title challengers with a point to prove. If Biereth's boots are warm, Brest could be toast—unless they nick an early one and park the bus. 

Monaco have Brest's number—21 wins to 7, and 5 draws from 33 meetings. Their last meeting on November 22, 2024, was a 3-2 thriller, Monaco prevailing with late drama. They've defeated Brest six on the spin, opening the scoring in five of six, and winning the first half in four of five. Cards also fly—over 4.5 in four of five. It's a one-sided rivalry, with Monaco showing their strength each time. Brest's home support may roar, but history suggests Monaco scent blood. Goals, aggro, and the visitors imposing their dominance is what to expect—unless Brest muster a shock of the unusual variety. 

History of Head-to-Heads

Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
22.11.24
AS Monaco AS Monaco
3 - 2
Brest Brest
Ligue 1 2023/2024 Ligue 1 2023/2024
21.04.24
Brest Brest
0 - 2
AS Monaco AS Monaco
Ligue 1 2023/2024 Ligue 1 2023/2024
05.11.23
AS Monaco AS Monaco
2 - 0
Brest Brest
Ligue 1 2022/2023 Ligue 1 2022/2023
19.02.23
Brest Brest
1 - 2
AS Monaco AS Monaco
Ligue 1 2022/2023 Ligue 1 2022/2023
01.01.23
AS Monaco AS Monaco
1 - 0
Brest Brest

Brest Latest Games

Brest Brest
30.03.25
Toulouse Toulouse
2 - 4
Brest Brest
16.03.25
Brest Brest
0 - 0
Reims Reims
09.03.25
Brest Brest
2 - 0
Angers Angers
02.03.25
FC Lyon FC Lyon
2 - 1
Brest Brest
23.02.25
Strasbourg Strasbourg
0 - 0
Brest Brest
19.02.25
PSG PSG
7 - 0
Brest Brest
14.02.25
Brest Brest
2 - 2
Auxerre Auxerre
11.02.25
Brest Brest
0 - 3
PSG PSG
07.02.25
Nantes Nantes
0 - 2
Brest Brest
01.02.25
Brest Brest
2 - 5
PSG PSG

AS Monaco Latest Games

AS Monaco AS Monaco
29.03.25
AS Monaco AS Monaco
2 - 1
Nice Nice
15.03.25
Angers Angers
0 - 2
AS Monaco AS Monaco
07.03.25
Toulouse Toulouse
1 - 1
AS Monaco AS Monaco
28.02.25
AS Monaco AS Monaco
3 - 0
Reims Reims
22.02.25
Lille Lille
2 - 1
AS Monaco AS Monaco
18.02.25
Benfica Benfica
3 - 3
AS Monaco AS Monaco
15.02.25
AS Monaco AS Monaco
7 - 1
Nantes Nantes
12.02.25
AS Monaco AS Monaco
0 - 1
Benfica Benfica
07.02.25
PSG PSG
4 - 1
AS Monaco AS Monaco
01.02.25
AS Monaco AS Monaco
4 - 2
Auxerre Auxerre

Monaco Double Chance & Over 1.5 Goals - Odds ~ 1.60:

Monaco's form and history scream win—Brest's injury crisis ensures it.

Over 2.5 Goals - Odds ~ 1.70:

Five of Monaco's previous seven managed this, and Brest's latest game had six! 

BTTS (Both Teams to Score) - Odds ~ 1.60:

Monaco leak goals, Brest score at home—juicy combination.

Odds
Bet Type
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Monaco Double Chance & Over 1.5 Goals
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,70
Bet Type Over 2.5 Goals
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Both Teams to Score
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