Marketa Vondrousova vs Ons Jabeur Prediction: The bookmakers are slightly underestimating Vondrousova

In the Wimbledon final, world No. 6 Ons Jaber will face world No. 42 Markéta Vondrousova. The two tennis players know each other well, having played on the Tour five times, though they have only crossed paths once on grass. The score is 3:2 in favour of the Czech player, who is listed as the outsider.

As we expected, Marketa beat Elina Svitolina in the semi-finals of Wimbledon, but we did not think that the Czech would win her match against Elina so easily. The match lasted an hour and 16 minutes, scoring 6:3 and 6:3 in favor of Marketa. During the game, Vondrousova served four times with six double faults, winning 74% of points on the first and 35% on the second. Receiving stats: 52%/63%, winners/unforced errors 22/25. Before her victory over the Ukrainian, Marketa had knocked out Stearns, USA, Russia's Kudermetova, Croatia's Vekic, her compatriot Bouskova, and American Pegula, losing only two sets in five meetings.

Jabeur once again showed her character, and after dropping the first set, she achieved a hard-fought victory, this time over Aryna Sobolenko in the semi-finals of the English Grand Slam. The match against Aryna lasted two hours and 22 minutes, and Ons won it 6:7, 6:4, 6:3. During the game, the Tunisian served three times with three double faults, won 74 percent of points on her first serve, and 64 percent on her second serve. Receiving stats: 29%/51, winners/unforced errors 28/14. Before beating Aryna Sobolenko, Jaber had knocked out Poland's Frech, China's Bai, Canada's Andreescu, Czech Republic's Kvitova, and Kazakhstan's Rybakina from the Wimbledon net.

We think the bookmakers are slightly underestimating Vondrousova; the Czech deserved to be in the final as much as Jabeur, and both had a difficult net. Ons played two long matches in the quarter-finals and semi-finals, while Marketa beat Elina Svitolina quite easily, saving precious energy before the final. This is a plus for Vondrousova, who is considered an outsider. Also on the plus side for the Czech is the head-to-head statistics. Not only does Marketa has a head-to-head advantage over Jaber, but Vondrousova has also beaten Ons in both matches in 2023. We expect Marketa's third win over Ons in the season.