New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction: Saints to take charge at home

In Sunday's NFL action at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome, the Atlanta Falcons will face off against the New Orleans Saints. The Atlanta Falcons suffered a loss to the Chicago Bears in their recent matchup, bringing their overall record to 7-9. On the other hand, the New Orleans Saints are currently 8-8 after securing a victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last Sunday. Let's delve into the full match analysis and prediction.

In the 10 games leading up to their bye, the New Orleans Saints showed a slight improvement with a 5-5 overall record. Over the last six games, they have maintained a 3-3 record, securing victories against the Carolina Panthers, New York Giants, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers during that span. On average, the New Orleans Saints are scoring 22.1 points per game while conceding 19.4 points per game.

In their recent matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the New Orleans Saints secured a victory, establishing a 20-0 lead in the first three quarters and ultimately winning 23-13. Derek Carr contributed with two touchdown passes and 197 yards, while Juwan Johnson made eight receptions for 90 yards and a score. Jamaal Williams led the rushing attack with 19 carries for 58 yards.

However, heading into this game, the New Orleans Saints have faced challenges, losing three of their last four games as favorites after a road win. Additionally, they have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites following a road win.

The Atlanta Falcons had a challenging start to the year, managing a 4-6 record in their first 10 games. Since their bye, they've experienced a 3-3 run with losses to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Carolina Panthers, and Chicago Bears. The Falcons are averaging a modest 19.0 points per game, including 200.8 yards per game, 15 total touchdowns, and 15 interceptions through the air. On the ground, they maintain an average of 130.1 yards per game with 14 rushing scores.

In their recent game against the Bears, the Falcons found themselves trailing 21-7 by halftime and eventually suffered a 37-17 loss. Taylor Heinicke recorded 163 yards with one touchdown and three interceptions (along with a rushing touchdown), while Bijan Robinson rushed 15 times for 75 yards. Tyler Allgeier contributed with a 75-yard touchdown catch.

As they approach this upcoming match, the Falcons have faced challenges on the road, losing eight of their last nine road games against NFC opponents. However, they have covered the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs against NFC South opponents.

I'll likely opt for the New Orleans Saints at home in this matchup. The Saints secured a solid victory against the Bucs in their previous game, despite gaining a modest 310 total yards (202 passing) and achieving 20 first downs. In their current 3-2 stretch, the Saints have consistently scored 22 or more points in each game, although they haven't surpassed 28 points. On the other hand, the Atlanta Falcons have struggled to score, managing 17 or fewer points in three of their last five games. They might face difficulties against the New Orleans defense. In their recent game against the Bears, the Falcons only recorded 307 yards and 15 first downs, and the four interceptions further compounded their challenges. While Sunday's game may not be too unfavorable, I don't believe the Atlanta Falcons will cover the spread in this instance.