Round 20.
Stadium: San Siro (Milano).
Referee: Matteo Marchetti.
11.01.2025 22:45
Milan won the Italian Super Cup after beating Juventus in Saudi Arabia. The team, under Sergio Conceição, beat Juventus and Inter to win the trophy. Will the Rossoneri keep winning, now that they have beaten Cagliari in the national championship? Telecomasia is offering a prediction and several bets on this match.
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The Rossoneri played their first matches in Saudi Arabia under their new coach, Sergio Conceição, who replaced Paulo Fonseca. The debut for the former Porto coach was a great success. In the semifinals, the Reds and Blacks outplayed Juventus 2:1, even though they were 0:1 down after the first half. In the final, AC Milan also made a comeback. The Rossoneri conceded two unanswered goals by the 49th minute. They improved in the second half and won in regulation time. First, Theo Hernandez scored from a free kick, then he assisted Christian Pulisic, and on 90+1 Tammy Abraham sent the winning goal for Inter. 3:2 - Conceição starts his job with a trophy.
In the last round of Serie A, Milan faced Roma at home and the game ended in a 1:1 draw. This was Paulo Fonseca's last game as Milan's manager. It's not surprising that there have been some changes to the staff. Even though Milan has one game less than some of their opponnets, they sit eighth in the league, eight points behind the Champions League spot.
Cagliari
The Sardinians' last match occured on January 5th, just as AC Milan were getting ready for their finals. Davide Nicola's team played Monza away and won, which was really important. After a few goals conceded in the sixth minute, Cagliari started playing better in the 22nd minute thanks to Zortea. In the 56th minute, they took the lead thanks to Roberto Piccoli. Then, just a few minutes later, the Islanders found themselves in the majority after a penalty from the opponent and kept the advantage until the final whistle – 2:1. Now, Cagliari has 17 points. The Sardinians have left the relegation zone, currently occupying 17th place in the Serie A standings, but in terms of points, they are on par with eighteenth Lecce.
H2H Meetings
In the first round of the current competition, the two teams met in Sardinia. It was a very exciting game. Milan was losing 0:1, winning 2:1 and 3:2, but still let the other team equalise in the end, making the final score 3:3. AC Milan has won 8 out of 10 previous matches against Cagliari, with the last victory for Cagliari over Milan dating back to May 2017.
Stats Betting
- In five out of six previous H2H matches, the home team has won. We bet on the total over (2.5), with odds of 1.687 at 1xbet.
- Cagliari and AC Milan have exchanged goals in five of the last six H2H matches. We bet on both teams to score (1.85 at 1xbet).
- Milan has won nine out of 11 previous matches against Cagliari. We bet on W1 at odds of 1.425 at 1xbet.
- Milan has scored at least three goals in five of their last six home H2H games. We bet on IT1O (2.5) at odds of 2.32 at 1xbet.
Bookmakers' Offers
Milan is expected to win the upcoming game based on the statistics of previous meetings between the teams, as well as Milan's performance in the Italian Super Cup. The odds of Milan winning are 1.425 at 1xbet, while the odds of Cagliari winning are 8.20. You can bet on a draw for 5.20. Also, the 1xbet experts expect a productive game. We bet on TO (2.5) is accepted for only 1.687 and on TU (2.5) for 2.366.
Expert Betting Tips
Milan's victory in the Super Cup, also in the derby over Inter, has clearly boosted their morale. It's important, because the Rossoneri are far behind even fourth place in Serie A, and need wins. Milan has won most of their recent matches against Cagliari, so we predict a vcitory for the hosts. We also predict a lot of corners, since the Super Cup showed that Milan will continue to play attacking football under Conceição.