Penarol vs The Strongest Prediction: Penarol are superior at home

An interesting duel in the 1/8 finals of Copa Libertadores awaits us between Penarol and The Strongest. Both teams won most of their points in the group stage on home ground, and it’s clear that Penarol are clear favorite to win this match in front of their fans, as they won all previous matches in Copa Libertadores at home this season.

Form: DWWWL

Penarol finished in 2nd place in Group G thanks to the good games and results they got at home, they won all 3 matches in this stadium, scoring 9 and conceding only 1 goal. They are in good form in the domestic championship as well, they are in 1st place in Group A of Uruguay Primera Division. At home, they are undefeated in the last 9 official matches in all competitions and it’s clear that a good result in this match is a must for Penarol if they want to proceed to the next stage, knowing that they struggle in the away matches, and it will be extremely difficult in the second match in Bolivia.

Form: WWDDL

Similar to Penarol, The Strongest passed the group stage thanks to better performances at home and winning all 3 matches. In the away matches, it was a completely different story and The Strongest failed to win in all 3 away matches in the group. The Strongest will try to keep the result as close as it can so they can have a chance at home in the second leg to win and qualify for the next round. In the last 5 away matches they have 2 wins, 2 defeats, and a draw, but they don’t have pleasant experiences when playing against Uruguayan teams away.

Penarol will push from the very start of the match and try to win the game with several goals difference. They are a better team than The Strongest, and I expect Penarol to win and score at least two goals in this match. These teams have played 4 times so far and always the home side won the match confidently, and the visitors haven’t scored a goal in any of those matches.