Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians Prediction: Vasco has not beaten Corinthians since 2010

Vasco da Gama traditionally has a hard time against Corinthians. In the 102 times they've met, the Paulistas have a considerable advantage with 45 wins against 24 for the Cariocas. On 33 occasions, the games have ended in a draw. In July, the teams met at the Neo Química Arena, and Corinthians won 3-1. The Vascaínos haven't beaten the Timão for 13 years. Both teams need points to avoid relegation, but Vasco is in a more difficult situation.

The Cruzmaltino earned a precious 0-0 draw at the Ligga Arena against Athletico PR. It was the sixth consecutive game without a loss for Vasco, who has now gone four games unbeaten on the road. The Cariocas are still above the Z4 but only one point ahead. Vasco's squad is solid, applying pressure on the opponents when they have the ball to disrupt the build-up play. The Hill's Giant defense has benefited from Ramón Diaz's tactical introduction. However, in this game, the Argentine coach will have a few problems assembling his team as three of the four players suspended are defenders.

The unthinkable happened in the Paulistas' last game at the Neo Quimica Arena, where their fans witnessed a shocking 5-1 defeat against Bahia. It was a totally unexpected result, especially after the memorable victory at the Arena do Grêmio, achieved with one player less since the 10th minute. The Timão has complicated its situation and now occupies 13th place with 44 points, two points above Vasco and three above the relegation line. If Corinthians loses, it will be overtaken by Vasco da Gama and will enter a dangerous table zone.

It should be a balanced match, and the teams shouldn't take too many risks. Vasco da Gama is in a good moment and, therefore, has favorable odds. However, the defense that will enter the pitch is unproven, and the psychological factor of Vasco's historic difficulties against Corinthians may also come into play. The Paulistas are coming off the back of a terrible result at home, and there's a question mark over whether the 5-1 defeat to Bahia will affect the players' confidence or whether they'll go into the game wanting to make amends. It will be a nerve-racking game, and I'm leaning towards a draw.